Sunday, March 27, 2022

A bloody war is about to get bloodier. Surrender is about to go out the window

Interesting.

Russians aren't gonna be surrendering in droves now.  Word of this will spread and reprisals will be made.

Bet good money this was AZOV Regiment doing this.

One other thing though.  I haven't heard much of ANYTHING about Ukrainian captured.  I wonder what gives with that.  At least a few of their forces had to be nabbed on the battlefield but no one is talking about that...the Russians or the Ukrainians.

Yeah, we're entering a new phase.  It's about to get nastier than its already been.

More UAV footage from Russia means they have birds in the air, I saw a Tweet about a Global Hawks operating over Ukraine.

Targeting is gonna get even better for both sides.

Cities will continue to be smashed, command/control sites will be ravaged (once found) and the supply lines will be endangered for all.

This is when catastrophic mistakes can and probably will happen.

War In Ukraine Will Echo Through The Middle East

 via AFPC.org

Take Israel. A Russian invasion of Ukraine has the potential to be downright ruinous for the Jewish state, historian Shimon Briman explained in a recent article for the Ha'aretz newspaper. Ukraine "has been Israel's main grain supplier for more than a decade," he notes. "Deliveries from Ukraine account for almost 50 percent of Israeli consumption of grain and other cereals. To understand what the loss of Ukrainian grain would mean, simply break off half of your child's sandwich or half of the loaf of bread you bought for breakfast and hide it away out of reach. Because you won't have it any more."

The same could hold true for other Middle Eastern nations as well. Egypt, for instance, ranks as the world's largest consumer of Ukrainian wheat, and imported more than 3 million tons – nearly 14% of Ukraine's total wheat production – in 2020. Current Russo-Ukrainian tensions have already hiked the global price of that commodity by nearly 10 percent, forcing the Egyptian government to raise domestic prices. If a full-blown war takes Ukraine offline as a supplier, we could witness rising food insecurity – and potential social unrest – along the Nile.

Lebanon is arguably in an even worse situation, because Ukraine currently provides more than half (55%) of its total wheat. These are supplies that the country (currently in the midst of a protracted national economic meltdown), can scarcely do without.

Here 

Knock on effects.  They're talking about fuel...but food will be worse.

The Biden admin hasn't even begun to address this global issue that will rock the world in the latter half of this year.

Berger's sycophants strike back...they're doing their best to defend the jacked up plan of their patron

Interesting. The whole damn thing is interesting.

I had always assumed that Berger got buy in from the retired 4 stars.

Apparently he hadn't.

That's stunning and curious.  This fucker actually hatched this scheme in a dark room with a bunch of junior officers and tried to ram in down.

He's not even a good change agent.  This smacks of arrogance that I've only imagined.

3rd Brigade Combat Team, 82nd Airborne Division conduct sling load training in Zamość, Poland

Ukraine War Threatens to Cause a Global Food Crisis

 via NY Times

“Ukraine has only compounded a catastrophe on top of a catastrophe,” said David M. Beasley, the executive director of the World Food Program, the United Nations agency that feeds 125 million people a day. “There is no precedent even close to this since World War II.”

Ukrainian farms are about to miss critical planting and harvesting seasons. European fertilizer plants are significantly cutting production because of high energy prices. Farmers from Brazil to Texas are cutting back on fertilizer, threatening the size of the next harvests.

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 China, facing its worst wheat crop in decades after severe flooding, is planning to buy much more of the world’s dwindling supply. And India, which ordinarily exports a small amount of wheat, has already seen foreign demand more than triple compared with last year.

This is why China is trying to play nice with India...they're trying to corner the market on their wheat!

 Around the world, the result will be even higher grocery bills. In February, U.S. grocery prices were already up 8.6 percent over a year prior, the largest increase in 40 years, according to government data. Economists expect the war to further inflate those prices.

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 Rising food prices have long been a catalyst for social and political upheavals in poor African and Arab countries, and many subsidize staples like bread in efforts to avoid such problems. But their economies and budgets — already strained by the pandemic and high energy costs — are now at risk of buckling under the cost of food, economists said.

Story here 

Knock on effects.

The sanctions will have unintended consequences.

A new financial scheme will be developed because Russia is demanding that their good be bought in Rubles.  Worthless today?  Maybe, but not tomorrow.

Unfortunately that's not the real problem.

Europe is about to get pounded with a new wave of immigrants. People in the Middle East and Africa are gonna come pouring in.

Why?

Because of the last item that I posted and highlighted.

Food scarcity has always led to wars, migration, and regime change (you can probably add in increased terrorism too).

You're willing to sacrifice for the sake of Ukraine?  Awesome.  You haven't yet begun.

High fuel prices, potential rationing of energy and food, a new financial system that operates outside the "legacy" system that the West has setup and wars across the globe?

The reaction to this one conflict will lead to global suffering that will make the bullshit seen during the covid crisis look like child's play.

The Military Industrial Complex will be well fed though.

Congrats to the readers that bought into the MSM messaging. You've probably sealed the fate of millions of people you don't even know.  All because you chose to emote instead of think.

French Rapid Reaction Corps @ Exercise Brilliant Jump 22

Chinese Navy ship docked at their overseas naval base in Djibouti...they're a blue water navy now...

A one region, one foe force won't work when that foe operates worldwide. Force Design 2030 might have been viable in 1999 but not today.

NATO eFP BattleGroup Lithuania

Fire at Saudi oil depot in Jeddah as Iran-backed Houthis claim attack

 via Times of Israel.

A raging fire erupted Friday at an oil depot in Jeddah ahead of a Formula One race in the Saudi city.

Yemen’s Houthi rebels claimed it was an attack by the group among a barrage of others.

While Saudi Arabia and its state-run oil behemoth Saudi Aramco did not immediately acknowledge the blaze, it was centered on the same fuel depot that the Houthis had attacked in recent days.

Here

Knock on effects.

 

German Energy Group Says Gas Supply Is About to Deteriorate

 via Bloomberg

The BDEW, which represents Germany’s main gas and electricity suppliers, said it can’t rule out disruptions to supplies after Russian President Vladimir Putin demanded payment in rubles, according to a statement on its website. It called on Germany to issue an early warning, which would need to be coordinated at the European level, it said.

“There are concrete and serious indications that the gas supply situation is about to deteriorate,” said Kerstin Andreae, BDEW’s chairwoman. “With Putin’s announcement that future gas deliveries will have to be paid for in rubles, an impact on gas deliveries cannot be ruled out.”

Here

Knock on effects.