Saturday, July 09, 2022

LAR on Patrol

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We heard reports of Belarus entering the war and now Ukrainian soldiers are building fortifications and laying landmines on the border

Well this is ominous.

I 100% believe that the US is giving the Ukrainians every bit of intel imaginable.  SOOOO that means that US intel is saying that Belarus is about to enter the war.

Geez.  This is how things spiral out of control.  Poland is already itching to get into this fight.  If Belarus jumps then so could the Poles.

This thing could get messy as hell.

All you bros in the IRR better start running and lifting.  You might get a call by Christmas.  Joking but not joking.
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President of Sri Lanka has fled

That was an easy guess. If he stayed he'd be hung in the city square. Seems like we're seeing a back to basics movement in some parts of the world.
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Germany refuses to ‘plunder its own military’ for the sake of Ukraine


 via MSN

Berlin has rejected a request to deliver around 200 Fuchs armoured personnel carriers to Kyiv, citing a need to preserve the country’s own security interests.

“We support Ukraine with everything that is possible and responsible. But we have to ensure Germany’s ability to defend itself,” Christine Lambrecht, the German defence minister, told the German Press Agency on Thursday.

“It is therefore irresponsible to plunder the Bundeswehr (German military), especially in these times, and even to ignore the military advice of the General Inspector.”

Ms Lambrecht said her decision was made pursuant to military advice.

This is the problem that Western leaders have walked themselves into (well another problem).  

For some reason they've emboldened Zelensky to make all kinds of requests for weapons (I'm assuming publicly without prior consultation) and now that he is they're having to smack him down PUBLICLY.

Don't think that this is just a German problem either.  If you've been paying attention the US is reaching the limits of what it can REASONABLY and without incurring significant RISK donate to the Ukrainians.

That's why the fight has devolved to the state its in now.  I guess that's why the sanctions have been so scattershot and draconian.

Realization that this war could drag on is settling in and that was not according to plan (at least from what I can tell).

A long grinding war will work in the Russians favor.  We're all looking at material and forgetting about the men actually employing the weapons.

Simply put?  Ukraine will run out of fighting men and the pipeline of volunteers looks to be drying up.  Add in the mix of the hardships that many Europeans will suffer because of energy disruption (not even counting the looming food crisis) and negotiations to end this take on new relevance.

Sorry to all the hawks out there but this thing has been shabbily planned and executed.

The only way to change the trajectory of this is to introduce NATO forces into Ukraine and I pray to God our leadership isn't that stupid.

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While you weren't looking - Syrian region declares state of emergency in anticipation of Turkish military operation

 via CNN

The administration of the Kurdish-controlled areas of northeastern Syria declared a state of emergency on Wednesday amid "threats" of a Turkish military operation.

*Background: "Due to the threats that are facing North and East Syria by the Turkish occupation state, we are declaring a state of public emergency," the statement said. The Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria added that it will use all its capabilities to "protect the people from any aggressive attack" and that "a priority to confront these threats should be given."

*Why it matters: Earlier this month Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced Turkey's will to "create a safe zone" along the country's borders with Syria, saying that he is "clearing the area from terrorists."

Oh you thought it was over?  Not hardly!  Global chaos is here.  The knock on effects of this thing are just getting started. I didn't expect it to pop off so soon but here we are.

If you think its bad now wait till winter time in the north and summer in the south.  That's when everything will get real sporting! 

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Sri Lanka is about to burn. What do you do if you're in certain occupations during times like this?

Look at that mass of people!  Sri Lanka is about to burn.

But what do you do during situations like this if you're in certain occupations?

If you're in the military, law enforcement, fire, medical, private security...even fast food restaurants or grocery store workers?  

Remember covid and the list of "essential" workers?  What do they do during times like this?

Do they go to work or stay at home and protect family?  I have my own ideas but wonder what you guys think.
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The Jungle Warfare Instructors Course (Brunei)

Do Marines still go to this course? I can't recall of hearing anyone doing so except for the Late Col Ripley (and I could be wrong...just know he did alot - EVERYWHERE!). Anyone know?
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The leadership in Sri Lanka will either flee or be killed soon (my prediction)

I wonder if someone somewhere is spooling up forces to intervene. My opinion? Not our fight, and we can help (to a degree that we can) after the dust settles.
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Open Comment Post. 9 July 22

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Random acts of crime.

No words.
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