So where are we at in the Ukraine/Russia war so far into Dec?
1. Ukraine is off the chain and if they're gonna get continued support they'll either be reeled back in or lose support even more dramatically.
It isn't acknowledged but on the conservative side of our political spectrum (in the US...don't care how Europe sees things), Zelensky is viewed as arrogant, begging for money and basically a thug in presidential combat clothing.
The strikes deep inside Russia are concerning and retaliation can be expected. It will be up to the US and NATO, not Ukraine, to keep a lid on this thing to keep it from escalating.
Additionally the Ukrainians are playing with fire. Literal fire. Striking that far into Russia could justifiably see them use tactical nuclear weapons against military, infrastructure that supports military efforts and govt buildings.
In other words power station, ports, airfields, Ukraine govt offices etc. Yeah this thing could spiral easily.
2. Many in the US are questioning the MILITARY aid. We are giving the Ukes massive amounts of gear and putting our own security at risk. I don't see how we can give much more but this Pentagon seems to accept risk the way a stripper accepts dollar bills.
3. Russia continues to fight a weird war. Russian Special Ops should be active. FSB should be running assassination missions. Sabotage by 5th columnist should be an ongoing issue. But nothing. I don't understand it.
They are reinforcing their lines and they appear to be consolidating their positions to areas that can be more easily defended. Outside of that I just don't understand what Russian military leadership is thinking.
4. The drone war will continue. Its apparent that expendable drones in numbers are the way to go (at least till energy weapons make a big appearance). Russia launched 70 and the Ukes knocked down 60, but the damage was still impressive.
5. Europe seems to be reaching their limit of supply the Ukrainians. They're still supplying gear but I have to wonder if they'll be able to continue you it at pace. Since last summer the amount has fallen dramatically. I'm guessing it will fall even more.
When US citizens feel the full brunt of supporting this war in Europe while the Europeans sitting back trying to dictate the aid we give then you'll see Congress Critters getting an ear full.
I've read many articles saying we need to stay the course but the argument is weak and unconvincing.
6. Lastly General Winter is coming but he ain't quite hit as hard as he's going to. I expect pain and misery on that continent.
It will be a sight to behold.
7. The rub? The longer this goes on the more potential for a dramatic mistake to happen, the US/NATO get pulled into direct conflict or for Ukraine to completely collapse once continued support is no longer possible.
When that happens Ukraine will be chopped up like a chicken.
Zelensky is so blood thirsty that he can't see past his fucking nose.
