Thursday, June 08, 2023

Eurozone in recession

 

I'm sure the citizens already knew this.
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Open Comment Post. 8 June 23

 


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Wednesday, June 07, 2023

The three MEFs will be different to handle different geographic areas according to the incoming Commandant. SO why are they optimizing infantry battalions to the MLR concept?

Three MEFs will be different.  So why are they optimizing infantry battalions to the MLR concept?

Then I read this from Defense One on the same subject...
Third Battalion, 4th Marines returned from deployment in April, and over 18 months, as it prepares for the next one, the unit will be manned, trained, and equipped based on how the Marine Corps envisions future infantry battalions, “so we can assess it and build that body of evidence to make sure we found the sweet spot with our experimentation and our equipment,” Ellison said. The Marine Corps Warfighting Lab, which is leading the experimentation effort, will work with the unit through their training and deployment, he said.

“So we’re going to experiment with them in every clime and place, to include the jungles of Okinawa, Japan, and in the Pacific,” he said. “So it's about an 18 month experimentation timeline, but we'll recommend decisions as we learn. We're not going to wait to make decisions, there’s second- and third-order effects to every decision we make. And part of our responsibility is to inform Lt. Gen. Heckl of decisions that can be made early that help us anticipate later decisions or enable alternatives across the rest of the force.”

It's all fairy dust.

They're talking "force in readiness" but they're focused like a laser on only one clime, one place and one enemy.

HQMC and the Warfighting Lab are so focused on being recon and killing ships that they forget enemy infantry will be just as focused or more on killing Marines.

This will end badly.

This will go one of a couple of ways if war happens.

*  The Chinese will simply bypass the MLR sailing out of range of detection and/or its anti-ship missiles.

*  The Chinese will isolate the MLR, making foraging necessary and basically starving them out while letting the jungle degrade their capabilities so that when they do attack the force will be so weak as to put up almost no fight.

*  The Chinese will launch a concerted effort to destroy in detail the MLR.

The amount of resources it will take to destroy these small dispersed units will be relatively small.  Assign one destroyer to each found unit and they will be microfragmented.

This plan is a recipe for disaster.


 

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Chechen forces receive Chinese combat vehicles

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France's 21 Marine Infantry Regiment at work

 

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Hypothetical. If a war with China went sideways and we destroyed 3 Gorges Dam, would that be enough to trigger nuclear retaliation?

 Navy Surface Officers, the old skool dudes, are some blood thirsty bastards.

Why do I say that?

Cdr Salamander over his blog was talking about the dam breach in Ukraine and then pivoted to talking about how if things got sideways in a war with China that we should consider taking out the 3 Gorges Dam.

He went on to say that 400 million people are downstream of that and a quick look at the map shows major cities.

Taking out that dam would be a massive disaster with huge loss of life and property.

It would plunge China into the dark ages.  At least a large portion of it.

Monitoring the conversation on this blog, the discussion is a strike in kind from the Chinese with them hitting the Hoover dam.

Personally I don't think it comes close. 

But let's pivot again.  We're talking about a catastrophe of massive proportions.  Don't you think that under those circumstances the Chinese would simply launch a nuke or three at a couple of our major cities?

I say all that to say this.

The SecDef wants to talk to China so that lines of communication are open.

I think he's totally misreading the Chinese.  The US wants war but wants a "moderated" war but I don't think the Chinese are viewing it that way.

Do you hear all the talk of competition with the Chinese?  The grey zone talk?  

I personally believe that if it comes to war the Chinese will bang their fangs into the floorboard and come at us with everything they got short of nukes.  I don't think they'll pause until they've achieved their goals and I believe they'll be in it for the long run (which makes their manufacturing capacity concerning...we need to nationalize large caliber gun and missile production NOW).

If the fight is over Taiwan and they're initially repulsed I think they'll keep feeding units into the fight and make it war of attrition.  If the fight is over rubble and dead bodies then so be it for them.  Its the goal that's important.  They'll rebuild after they take it.

Bottom line.  Don't think a war with China will be easy.  They're determined, they're smart and they're disciplined.  No they're not 10 feet tall and we can take them.  But if the powers that be know its coming then they need to up the game fast.  

Misconceptions and missteps can lead to terrible outcomes for all involved...on both homelands.

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Bayraktar TB2 SİHA is the new hotness in unmanned aircraft. 30 countries have signed export agreements.

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Finland's Coastal Brigade @ Atrain 23

 

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Tuesday, June 06, 2023

The problem is the kid who gets $6 a day in food stamps via Reddit

Yeah I warned that the idea of increasing defense spending and with the aid to Ukraine grabbing all the headlines, that it was a terrible idea for the Republicans to be going after domestic spending at home. They didn't listen (they don't come to this blog so how could they hear?) and now we see the creeping pushback that will rise to a crescendo during the 2024 Presidential Election. Another unforced error. It's almost like they don't want to win.
 
Oh and who is Warren Gunnels?  Majority Staff Director.  In other words he's the man behind the curtain pulling strings.  Consider him one of your overlords that really runs our Empire.

 
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Russia has the most to gain from damn breach?

 

Thanks to Duke 7 for the link! I'm showing what a scrub I was. It never even crossed my mind to use dams as a weapon of war. Yeah I've read about the dam busters. I read about US Navy aviation taking out dams in the Korean war. But it never occurred to me that it would be used in this day and age. How naive on my part. Anyway I'm still digesting this. Might take a sec cause like I said. I never even considered the possibility (even though we had been warned about it earlier).
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