Tuesday, May 02, 2023

And even more freaking aid for Ukraine

 

This is the military aid. Which has become obscene. The money being sent over to fund their govt is astronomical too. When is enough enough? We have a 31 trillion dollar deficit, they're talking about cutting programs here at home yet we're sending money we don't have to Ukraine? MAKE IT MAKE SENSE!

Amphibious ship crisis. Berger's myopic focus on Force Design 2030 laid the seeds of this disaster

 via Defense News.

In July 2019, Gen. David Berger took command of the service and quickly released a document titled “Commandant’s Planning Guidance” that backed away from the requirement of transporting those two brigades, saying the Corps would fight differently in the future.

Here 

Berger, Smith, and the rest of HQMC is scrambling to lay the blame on the USMC's lack of participation in crisis response on a lack of amphibious shipping.

Maybe.

But make no mistake about it.  The seeds of this disaster was laid in his proclamation that the USMC didn't need 38 amphibious ships anymore.  That we wouldn't need to transport two MEBs.  That we would fight differently in the future.

We can now see that not only did the Navy pounce on this misguided plan and that idiotic statement but so did the SecDef's office.

Suddenly the Marine Corps is saying that it doesn't need 38 amphibs?  Is gonna fight different?

I'm sure the conversation went, if they're gonna fight different and if they're gonna get 31 Landing Ship Mediums then in an era of tough recruiting we're just gonna give them one or the other but not both.

My belief.

The Pentagon is about to stiff the Marine Corps on big amphibs and on the LSM.

Berger is gonna leave the Marine Corps in worst shape than when he found it.

Buckle up boys.

For the first time in modern history the Marine Corps is ACTUALLY facing a crisis regarding its future and place in the DoD.

Even worse?

The pain was self inflicted due to an out of control Commandant that did NOT plan for the inevitable consequences of his concept.

3rd Brigade Combat Team, 82nd Airborne Division participate in the attack phase of their Joint Readiness Training Center (JRTC) Rotation 23-07 on Fort Polk, La

It's a damn shame that the Army was able to crack the code and the Marine Corps wasn't. They're adding missiles to their force and creating a multi-domain concept instead of tearing down their Brigade Combat Teams. We should have added, not subtracted from the Corps. More capability trumps less ... or worse, specialization that is pixie dust.

Reactions? Does this contribute to good order and discipline or endanger it? Or a non-factor?

Russia has switched from targeting power to munitions...

Budlight is facing an unprecedented backlash

 

The USMC under Force Design 2030... "Not enough people, not enough units, not enough capacity"

 via Breaking Defense

And the force’s slimming down as part of Force Design 2030 may now be showing itself, according to John Ferrari, a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.

“They put themselves on a diet, and all of a sudden when there’s a lot of phone calls, they can’t answer it. Not enough people, not enough units, not enough capacity,” said Ferrari, a retired Army officer. “It’s not a linear descent in capability [and] capacity — a smaller force spins faster to do fewer missions.”

+

 Andrew Metrick, a fellow at the Center for New American Security, told Breaking Defense it’s about “cultural ethos,” as well as new questions about the future of the force.

“The fact it’s bothering parts of the Corps, I think is reflective of the larger ongoing debate that you see … around Force Design 2030. There is an ongoing debate within the Corps and within the retired community about Marine Corps identity,” he said. “So, when things like Turkey or things like the current [situation] in Sudan come up, and other aspects of the US Joint Force are responding, it’s uncomfortable because [the Marines] look at it as something that historically they have done.”

Here 

This is the fruit of Berger's gamble.

A force that is designed for one region against one foe can't do traditional missions.

If you've been reading Marine Corps writings and watched the forums on video then you know that this issue is already covered.

Talk is already going on about what missions need to be given up in order to fully realize FD2030.

They use the lack of amphibious shipping as a cover for not being able to respond to issues popping up but I believe that behind closed doors this is also part of the plan.

Just like the Army providing tanks if necessary, I believe that its been decided behind closed doors that SOCOM would pick up the crisis response force along with the joint force as enablers to them.

The question asked by the Marine Corps Major a few your ago "Sir who am I" is back full force.

No Marine from the past will recognize this new construct.  It will not be able to do the missions that the legacy force performed.

If war doesn't come in the Pacific then the Marine Corps will continue to be left on the sidelines.

Thank Berger and his sycophants for that.

PzH2000 is a princess of a howitzer. You have to put on booties to avoid tracking in mud & each has its own vacuum cleaner!

Fierce fighting continues in Bakhmut. How did this city become the focus of both sides and turn into a meatgrinder?

I admit I don't know the terrain but for the life of me I don't understand how this small city has become the focus of both sides and turned into a meatgrinder. The good thing is that this is a great primer on urban warfare and is another data point that supports my view that cities are to be bypassed and left to wither on the vine. Makes no sense to tie up so many units in a fight for a destroyed city that has little value. I mean even if you win, what have you won?

173rd Airborne Brigade and Italian Army Paratroopers assigned to Folgore Brigade, conduct a water airborne operation

Special Tactics Airmen jump from a Marine Corps KC-130J Hercules

For the professionals in the audience...Defining Distributed Maritime Operations and the Future of Naval Warfare (CIMSEC.org)

It's a whole twitter thread of think tank thoughts so give it a look if you're interested in this type of thing.

Turkey's KAAN multi-role fighter is bigger than I thought..

 

Now we might have bases in Finland? The tilt to Europe is weakening us worldwide

Mark my words. This tilt towards Europe which never seems to lessen will have dramatic consequences for us worldwide. We only have so many forces and to have SO MANY dedicated to Europe is a mistake. Name hotspots. Ukraine is the only one in Europe. To be honest and to piss off the haters, that conflict is contained. It's dragging on too long just like all the wars we participate in during the modern era but its contained. Russia ain't about to attack NATO! The rest of the world? Big issues. LIMITED RESCOURCES REQUIRES PRIORITIZATION! The forward deployed concept is a loser. Everyone claims to be expeditionary but everytime you look up you see forces locked into one geographic location. Time to bring back REFORGER for Europe and the rapid deployment force for the rest of the world!

Open Comment Post. 2 May 23

HMLA-367 is supporting 75th Ranger Regiment and 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment (SOAR) @ NTC

Hmm. This is busy work. The 160th don't need USMC gunships to provide cover. One AC-130 or a few UAVs flying support will work for them. I guess the move now is to become an enabling force for SOCOM? Don't see much future in that. Another mission that Army assets can perform...especially when the fight moves further from the sea under FD2030. SOCOM is much in love with the 160th. If this is the move then they'd do better to try and support AF Special Ops CV-22s. Tie that into the Pacific fight with longer distances involved that the little bird can't handle. But that leads back to the issue of being a ONE theater force that is useless everywhere else. Remember Belleau Wood. Marines go where the nation needs, not where they planned for the next fight. There is no wiggle room in this concept. Berger went native when he was in the Pacific and he's trying to drag the Marines along with him.

Monday, May 01, 2023

These Coast Guard pilots were seconds away from a very bad day

 

Possible microburst almost downs USCG HH60-Jayhawk
by u/Low_n_slow4805 in Helicopters

Wagner sniper team in Bakhmut with a MTs-566 sniper rifle (all pics from Rob Lee's Twitter thread)

Kinda insane. The USMC killed off snipers and have embraced the idea of designated marksmen. But the Russians and Ukrainians are using them to good effect in their war. Does this mean that the USMC doesn't see itself engaged in urban combat once Force Design 2030 is fully implemented? It's the only thing that makes sense. A stand off force cannot close with the enemy and FD2030 makes the USMC a stand off force.

Open Comment Post. 1 May 23

 


We practice Non-Combat Evacuations but what about full on Combat Evacuations?

History indicates one thing. Combat evacuations are the wave of the future. I don't know if its because policy makers are hesitant to call for a withdrawal because they're afraid that the situation would spiral or if its because intel is behind the power curve on how all this will escalate.

One thing is pretty obvious in Sudan.

This thing is going sideways fast.

Which leaves us with a question.  What does the Administration and the Pentagon do?

The claim from the State Dept is that only a few Americans are left in country that want to leave.  That's a fragile declaration.  All it will take is for one foreign reporter to do a report or a YouTube video appear online claiming that they've begged to get out but got no help from the US govt to make that small fig leaf evaporate.

So where is the manual on doing combat evacuations between two warring entities?

Is there one?

Do we have a war plan covering that situation?