Wednesday, June 14, 2023
This guy makes a compelling case that Ukraine blew up the dam
I would like to point out the following...Russo-Ukrainian War: Another Dam Update
— Big Serge ☦️🇺🇸🇷🇺 (@witte_sergei) June 14, 2023
Since it has now been a full week since the Kakhovka Dam was destroyed, there is more information presenting itself that gives us some clues as to the responsible party and the intent behind its demise. pic.twitter.com/1IGAOVg4KY
1. This guy thinks that the dam was blown so that they wouldn't have to conduct an amphibious assault.
2. The story of the dam's destruction has faded from the headlines and no one is talking about it.
Do you get the force of connection?
The US govt knew that Ukraine destroyed Nord Stream but many in the administration rushed to point fingers at Russia. They got burned bad because SOMEONE ALWAYS TALKS!
Now we have the dam's destruction. No accusations, just alot of "we don't know which side did it".
Trust and believe that the US Army, Corps Of Engineers, a bunch of other experts have poured over the data. Additionally we have all kinds of surveillance systems operating and collecting real time data 24/7 over this war zone.
If it was Russia they'd be shouting it to the rooftops.
Ukraine blew the dam. The silence on this environmental nightmare tells me all I need to know. If Greta shuts her mouth then you know the politics of this thing are not favorable to her agenda.
KillNet, Anonymous Sudan and REvil says they're gonna take down the European banking system in 48 hours
Get your emergency cash now! I mean it can't hurt to be safe can it?Pro-Russian hacktivist group KillNet, Anonymous Sudan, and REvil announced their plans to take down the entire European banking system within the next 48 hours.
— Ian Miles Cheong (@stillgray) June 14, 2023
"This is not a DDoS attack, the games are over. No money, no weapons, no Kiev regime -- this is the formula for the… pic.twitter.com/to5RhxDif6
The USMC today could not breach Russian fortifications. Could the US Army do what the Ukrainians can't?
How well would US ground forces do against the Russian fortifications.
As I said in the title. The USMC would not even attempt to breach those fortifications. They are lighter than the 82nd Airborne now and while the Airborne bubbas might give it a run, a totally defensive USMC could not.
I read the testimony of the incoming Commandant before the Senate and the Marine Corps is full bore on this naval integration thing so doing anything but being the Navy's bitch is totally out of the question for the foreseeable future.
But what about the US Army?
I think if they made a run at it barebones. Meaning just the forces they have organic to the Army that it would be rough go.
Could they breach it?
Yeah. They could definitely breach it but it would be a very bloody affair and while the US Army would definitely give better than it got, the public would be horrified at the butcher's bill.
How would they do with the Joint Force behind them?
In this case when I say the Joint Force I mean the USAF & Navy Aviation (remember the USMC is gonna be recon/counter recon in the Pacific waiting for a fight that ain't coming).
The main backers in this will be the USAF.
And I believe that air power will be the key to making the results acceptable to the public.
I think you'd see a modified shock and awe campaign aimed at the fortification all up and down the line. We'd probably see weeks of that campaign before the first Assault Breacher Vehicle even started its engine.
Oh and don't forget. Long range artillery will be playing in this game and just like in previous wars they're gonna go after anti-air first, enemy long range artillery second and once all that's neutralized they're gonna hammer the dog shit out of the troops in defense.
Once the table is set then you'll see the Army rush thru and brag about the power of the new Abrams and effectiveness of the Bradley when handled by professionals.
The American Empire will not permit this.
Thanks to Duke 7 for the link!
We all focus on the military aspects of things but I've been trying to get feet wet into the economic side of stuff cause at the end of the day its all about money. The military is just a means to enforce economic policy.Africa says bye to the US dollar. The President of Kenya, @WilliamsRuto, urges African nations to dump USD under tumultuous applause. With every nation that rejects USD as reserve currency the US Govt will pay a higher price for printing money (inflation). pic.twitter.com/9auXCXwsZZ
— Kim Dotcom (@KimDotcom) June 13, 2023
This trend has to be beyond troubling to the power that be in Washington.
The US Dollar is the foundation upon which our empire is built. If Africa dumps the dollar (and other countries including some we are trying to woo are instead operating a basket of currencies) then thing get a bit wobbly for us.
I've predicted that the next war will not be in the Pacific but in Africa.
Think we're not ready for a fight in the Pacific? Check out a REAL map of Africa and drink in the huge land distances involved.
The weird thing?
EABOs would be perfect if they weren't so biased to the naval fight on this continent.
The tyranny of distance has always been talked about when it comes to the naval fight. It will apply in spades if we're talking about a fight in Africa.
Historically we've always fought along the coasts when it comes to that land mass. A fight in central Africa would be a whole new stage of hard.
Oh and let me remind you of this. The French and British went after Gaddafi for less than is proposed here and we all knew how that turned out. A truly horrible death.
Breaching operations just became more complex. Combat Engineers clear a lane then the enemy re-mines it via rockets...
With weapon systems like this, breaching operations have become much more complex. Imagine if you're a combat engineer. You swallow hard, do the incredibly hard thing of clearing a lane for your armored forces and then they re-mine the lane you just cut and to make matters worse its not to cut your off but to cut off your support?MILITARY TECHNOLOGY RUSSIAN REMOTE MINING
— Mikael Valtersson (@MikaelValterss1) June 13, 2023
The Russian remote mining vehicle ISDM Zemoedeliye with 50 122mm tubes has a range of 5-15 km and can quickly mine an area of several footballfields. Few in operation yet, but very useful.
Ukraine has used HIMARS recently for remote… pic.twitter.com/CxBtNpH43O
So if you're lucky you continue on and hope that your fellow Sappers can get that NEW mine field cleared, that enemy arty doesn't zero in on your location (or attack helos or anti-tank teams or just some freak with an RPG that feels like playing Rambo) and that the assault can finally reach the breakthrough phase.
The Ukrainians are begging for F-16s but I'm thinking that what is probably needed on this new battlefield is A-10s to keep the anti-tank teams heads down and maybe kill some of the forward arty and B-1s/B-52s that can lob JDAMs from miles up at their leisure.
ISDM Zemledeliye the counter breach weapon system
Thanks to Maria Zakharovka (too funny) for the link!
Note. In my opinion its important to have readers all over the globe especially in wartime. Luckily I have a few Russian readers and I'm beyond happy to have them here. WE NEED A BALANCED PERSPECTIVE. Not getting that with the propaganda being thrown around. Are we on someone's radar? Possibly, no make that probably. A group said that Vets are more likely to be extremist, more likely to carry out mass casualty events (shootings/bombings) etc. So long story short? We're gonna do what we do. All info from all sides. Hang with it and enjoy the jewel that was given to us by one of those Russian readers.
An analysis of the new Russian tactics here. Check out the vid in the story and it shows how they're basically destroying breaching operations with a combination of combined arms used in the defense and these missile deployed mines.
I wonder if its occurred to anyone that the Ukrainians really need to conduct an operation to pop this open.
This thing is offensive is screaming for an airborne, air assault, amphibious assault of some kind.
As things are going they're just banging their heads against an anvil. I don't think the Ukrainian armed forces have the firepower to do a classic WW2 USMC "hey diddle diddle straight up the middle" assault.
Close combat you can train for. Steel yourself for. This attack helos launching from halfway over the horizon, UAVs you can't see and missiles from distance is a bitch.
Close combat is horrifying. You can see, sometimes actually are touching the person you're engaging with. The damage you cause or is caused to you is instant and there is no doubt who did it. The smell, the visuals, every sense that the human brain can muster will lock onto it so that you're better the next time.“Well Bradley, Hello!” — Russian Helicopter pilot
— Lord Bebo (@MyLordBebo) June 14, 2023
-> Two destroyed Bradley’s more. pic.twitter.com/f8dYcM0SWi
But this over the horizon shit.
This thing with UAVs flying at altitude so you can't see them before they strike. Long range artillery. Bombs from 50 miles away.
This shit sucks.
Ya know what I thought next?
COIN spoiled generations of US fighting forces. Everything I'm seeing in this war that I consider horrifying is the same shit we were doing to insurgents for the past few decades.
This war is bad.
If we fight China its gonna be a new level of horrifying. Good luck to whatever generation pulls that duty.
Fuck PTSD. We're gonna see full on shell shocked soldiers. Its all gonna be a mind fuck.
Tuesday, June 13, 2023
This analysis on the Ukrainian counteroffensive (before it began) aged badly.
I can only look at this from the perspective of the US military, with the view of being a Marine and having worked alongside other service members (different era but you get the idea).
Looking at it from a US perspective I can only think that we don't usually fire generals. But if a general had led an assault that got bogged down this badly the calls to fire him would be heard round the world.
We're 10 days (at least) into this thing and the Ukrainians haven't even made it to the main defensive line of the Russians.
I still think they moved too early, were batshit crazy to advertise it and failed to account for Russian resistance even though they watched them preparing positions for weeks if not months.
Long story short.
The Ukrainians were arrogant. Apparently they believed their own propaganda.
From my chair they need to preserve their forces. No need in continuing to hit your head against this anvil. Sort yourself out and do it again when you have your shit together.
If they don't do that then they risk losing it all and seeing a massive push into their heartland. Basic tactics is to wear your enemy down and then launch a savage counter attack when they're spent and demoralized.
This is a mess. I'm sure the Pentagon/White House knew this was a gamble but didn't think it would be this bad.
This so smells like a political decision and not a military one that I can't help but think this was decided between Zelensky and Biden.
Side note. I wonder what gave this guy the idea that they could rout the Russians? Almost like he was expecting a Europe style Shock and Awe or perhaps better said a modern day Blitzkrieg.
CIA warned Ukraine not to attack Nord Stream
The worst part of this is that our own govt allowed the public to believe (not me but many of the more gullible) that the Russians did this. The next concerning thing is that the Ukrainians did this then what won't they do that could widen the war. This is why I believe giving them long range weapons is so dangerous. Give them F-16s and they'll be mounting attacks inside Russia, maybe even Moscow.WSJ:
— Clash Report (@clashreport) June 13, 2023
CIA warned Ukraine not to attack Nord Stream.
Western allies had suspicions of a Ukrainian plot prior to the attack on pipelines.
CIA deliberated Ukraine's ability to carry out the Nord Stream attack. pic.twitter.com/hXqMOMgbXi
Some want NATO involved in this fight.
When I say NATO they mean that they want the US and Poland to do the fighting.
The problem?
America won't bite. Poland will only annex the parts of Ukraine they want and Zelensky will go from hero to pariah for widening the war to include Europe.
It really is a recipe for disaster.
Turn this war off. Ukraine is wandering into wild card territory.
What game is Prig playing? He's got to be getting close to the edge
Wow. What game is this dude playing? He's got to be getting close to the edge and the fact that he hasn't gone missing yet is either (1) impressive and open discussion is actually allowed in Russia, (2) batshit crazy and they're getting the acid filled tub together after the pigs are fed or (3) Putin is actually ordering him to do this.Prigozhin gathered another meeting to discuss the current state of events, said the Ukrainian offensive is moving competently and carefully, not enough is being done to stop them. pic.twitter.com/pNJnzXyiaE
— Dmitri (@wartranslated) June 13, 2023
I just can't figure out what's going on with him.
Any theories out there?
Why are they trying to make the Trump indictment such a simple deal?
Still healing up from this fractured ankle (never in my life did I think it would take this long...rehab sucks DONKEY DICK!) and I've been listening to the talking heads on TV discuss this thing.
I wonder why they're dumbing this thing down. This isn't simple. This won't be easy. The damage done to the DOJ and FBI might be irreparable.
One thing that annoys is that they keep emphasizing that the Special Prosecutor is asking for a quick and speedy trial.
Trump won't go for that.
He'll be running for President.
Even if convicted HE WILL APPEAL!
A reader here has been pushing the idea that this is designed to knock off Trump so that he can't run again. The theory goes on to state that Biden will be off'ed and Kamala will be shown the door too.
I thought it was too convoluted but it could make sense if you were dealing with anyone but Trump and IF they hadn't taken 3 shots at the crown before and missed.
Long story short?
Expect 2 more years of this madness with many foreigners of left leaning tendencies trying to weigh in on AMERICAN politics.
Details of the new US aid package for Ukraine. It's telling. Anti-Air, Battlefield Mobility, Anti-Armor & Breaching equipment
New $325 million aid package for Ukraine from the US includes:
— Clash Report (@clashreport) June 13, 2023
10 x Stryker APCs
15 x Bradley IFVs pic.twitter.com/a7QgUa2LA7
Trump in court. This will split the country. Side note. HOW DO YOU JAIL A FORMER PRESIDENT???
The US is heavily divided. Trans issue, climate issues, crime issues...just all kinds of stuff divides us.
Now you have a former President that has been hounded since he took office is being prosecuted by the DOJ?
The news media keeps talking about the political ramifications of this but the social side is what has my attention.
You think this nation is divided? Its about to be on tren (if you don't know its the most powerful steroid I know of).
Could this have happened at a worst time? I don't think so.
Why does it seem that we keep getting hit with triviality (be honest, Hillary DESTROYED a server with documents, Biden as a Senator had shit in his garage and Pence along with others had stuff too...wonder how many other current/former congress people have stuff they shouldn't) and an apparently different standards of justice (we all know what that's about, justice is about money and connections).
Meanwhile guess what?
Everyone else including China is taking care of business while we're once again distracted by bread and circuses.
Side note. How do you jail a former President? The Bureau Of Prisons must be shitting a brick. No way in hell they have policies and procedures to handle some shit like this. Does the secret service go into prison with him? How do you guarantee his safety when prisoners are cooking food? I've heard stories of them grinding up bottles to put in salt so that they could take out ONE guy that wronged them or to satisfy a hit. No way they can do it and this whole thing is a shit show made for history (it won't go like they think) and to rile up the Dems.
The Marine Corps is generational screwed. This budget plan will have the US Navy down to 19 amphibs by 2041
Just plain wow. The Navy (the service HQMC is fighting tooth and nail to integrate with) is pushing a plan to get amphibs down to 19 ships by 2041. Berger opened Pandora's box with the push down to 31 and now the bean counters have pounced. All those years of demanding ships, getting them and changing doctrine so that they were basically useless didn't help either. The Marine Corps might not exist by 2050. Certainly won't exist in any form that we can recognize. If it does live it'll probably be more like the Royal Marines than what is the USMC until recently. This whole group of change agents have fucked the nation and the Corps. I hope they're happy.Amphibious warship kerfuffle not over… Navy’s plan for shipbuilding raised the bipartisan ire of Congress. Letter today says as much, and a page from the Navy’s plan that fails to meet the mandate for 31 amphibious warships. pic.twitter.com/mqmYqPkRJ0
— Brent D. Sadler (@brentdsadler) June 13, 2023
Wow! Russian readers of this blog hinted at this new tactic, but this Twitter thread explains it in full...
Air Defense has to move forward to protect its breakthrough force, yet the ADA is being targeted. If they don't defend the breakthrough force then those units are obliterated. Interesting. One other thing though. When you have a counteroffensive in the modern era that is measured in a few hundred meters then in the modern context that offensive is FEEBLE! They haven't even reached Russia's main defensive belt yet!1/ Russian Telegram channels are discussing a new Ukrainian air defense suppression tactic: Russian aviation launched guided bombs/missiles from a safe distance, forcing Ukr. military to position air defense systems closer to the front line to shoot them down. Then... pic.twitter.com/7QmGECjdwt
— Samuel Bendett (@sambendett) June 13, 2023
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