Saturday, July 01, 2023

US Air power is irrelevant in the Pacific if 90% of our aircraft are destroyed on the ground

 

Repeat after me. 

FORWARD DEPLOYED FORCES DIDN'T WORK FOR THE ROMANS AND IT WON'T WORK FOR US! 

Great power fight requires new thinking. 

Not forward deployed forces but RAPID DEPLOYMENT FORCES!!!!

Friday, June 30, 2023

Will Macron survive this???

 Macron.

This dude has been having a terrible year.  Earlier he proposed reforms in their retirement system that outraged citizens and now this.

Will he survive the mayhem?

Somehow I doubt it.

Have no doubt.  Although many are painting this as a race war etc...the reality is that lack of assimilation, allowing enclaves and no go zone along with the recent economic issues all contributed to this.

The death of a motorist by police was only an excuse.

Sooner or later the REAL French military will be mobilized and detailed to put this down.  Order will be restored within a week or two at the outside and then the French judicial system will begin hunting any and all they can identify down and will deal with them.

But back to Macron.

The govt will fall and more than likely a more right wing govt will take its place.

What becomes of Macron?  The EU open border policy?  The EU/French policy towards Ukraine?

For better or worse France will be laser focused on its internal affairs.  The French are gonna turn inward hard.

But this thing is spreading.  I saw reports that Brussels is also facing the same issue.  This thing could spread all over Europe.  

What happens if Europe turns inward?  God forbid what if this thing heads to the US?

Ukraine better get it done fast.  It's allies might be about to fall away.

Now for the conspiracy mode.  Could Iran have been behind this?  Could their agents in France pushed this thing?  Lots of weapons on the streets that had to be smuggled into the country.  Military grade weapons at that.  If not Iran could a foreign country be attempting to destabilize first France and then the rest of the EU countries?

I'll leave you with this.  The UK is spitting distance from France.  Wonder if they're worried about spill over?

France is in a hurt locker

To all those that said it was fake. Here she is. She's a former Biden Adviser and she's real

 

Thursday, June 29, 2023

Cluster munitions and ATACMS to Ukraine? Another indication their counteroffensive has been blunted

Replacement of Bradleys and Strykers. Now cluster munitions and ATACMS are headed to Ukraine? The Russians must have really bloodied them badly if we keep having to send gear to meet the need. Has anyone noticed that they keep reaching for more and more to finally turn the tide but the tide never seems to get turned? This war is inching dangerously close to being a quagmire.

I just don't see any major changes this year.  Both sides are spent.

To be blunt it seems like they're fighting for positioning for the winter.  Sooner or later they're gonna have to clean up the lines, and properly plan for an offensive NEXT year.

This thing was badly planned and executed.  It was a political and not military decision to push now.

For better or worse Ukraine will be a factor in the US elections.  

Either the military continues to lie about the risk that has been assumed by sending all this gear or they're gonna have to ask for a MASSIVE increase in defense spending not to modernize but just to get the warstock back to where it was, not where it needs to be for a peer vs peer war.

The US military, govt and all the cheerleaders for this war prioritized Ukrainian security ahead of our own.

French deploy Special Ops to deal with rioters...

* Don't know if these are military special ops guys or their national police special ops personnel. Macron might have no choice but to fully activate a few brigades to restore order. Supposedly the violence is occuring in several French cities now.

France is burning...

Wow. This lady just insulted an entire population.

We can achieve success in a merit based system. If they system is racist then we can't. That applies to everyone. Funny enough and I've said it a million times. The biggest loser in this will be white women. Not blacks. Not Hispanics. Certainly not Indians or Asians. It will be white women that suffer most with this ruling.

All the so called black leaders bemoaning this are doing it for other groups.  Not for blacks.  They're bemoaning the ruling for the liberal cause.

Sidenote.  Don't tell me shit about shit on this one.  My boot camp photo has me and one other black guy in it.  Same for all the schools.  Same applies when I joined the Sheriff's Dept.  Not all will choose the same path but all can succeed.  Maybe not become Steve Jobs but all can win.

Massive looting in France...

 

Interesting. I thought French Police cracked heads. Guess I was wrong...or they've gotten soft.

The Marine Corps has painted itself into a corner with regard to amphibious ships...

 via Breaking Defense.

An intra-governmental “war” has broken out between Congress and the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) over how many large amphibious ships the Navy must have.

The Pentagon’s fiscal 2024 budget request “paused” construction of large amphibs. 

&

 The war began when a series of missteps by the Marine Corps undermined the justification for large amphibious ships. To overcome these missteps — and make things right with a skeptical Congress and OSD — it falls on the Navy and Marine Corps to develop stronger justifications for why they want 31 large amphibious ships and why OSD’s proposed smaller fleet is inadequate. 

&

General Berger’s initial planning guidance as commandant ended that long-time rationale. It argued that large amphibious ships were too vulnerable and too expensive: “We must continue to seek the affordable and plentiful at the expense of the exquisite and few.” In highlighted text, the guidance announced: “We will no longer use a ‘2.0 MEB requirement’ as the foundation for our arguments regarding amphibious shipbuilding. We will no longer reference the 38-ship requirement.”

That fit the new vision of small Marine units carried in a new design small amphibious ship (then called the light amphibious warship, now called the medium landing ship). These groups would operate inside the Chinese weapons engagement zone and strike at the Chinese fleet with long-range missiles.

&

 The Office of the Secretary of Defense, specifically the Directorate of Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation, (CAPE) took notice. CAPE―the lineal successor to famed Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara’s systems analysis office―analyzes programs and operations. Based on the new amphibious concept, it made the logical recommendation: If large amphibious ships were too expensive and too vulnerable and the Marine Corps believed that the future lay in small amphibious ships, then the Pentagon should limit the building of large amphibious ships.

&

 The controversy would die down if the Marine Corps offered a strong wartime rationale for 31 large amphibious ships. However, it continues its wartime emphasis on small units under FD 2030. The latest FD 2030 update does cite the need for 31 large amphibious ships but is vague about why, saying it’s: “[to] coordinate their actions directly with stand-in forces to control maritime terrain.” The Marine Corps has provided a calculation for their goal of 35 Landing ships Medium (nine for each of the three Marine Littoral Regiments and eight more for maintenance and other unavailability). Yet, there is no proposed calculation for arriving at 31 amphibious ships as there had been for the earlier amphibious ship goal of 34.

Here 

I don't believe this was a mistake.  I believe that Berger happily gave up 38 and even 31 large amphibs as long as he got his Landing Ship Mediums.

I think outrage from Congress and the Marine Corps family pushed the issue which made them backtrack.

The USMC painted themselves into a corner and the "mothership" idea isn't a solution.

The current Marine Corps is gonna be different.

It's gonna be totally defensive and totally wedded to the Pacific.

It will not be the Marine Corps of the past.  This new breed of Marines should do us all a favor and case the colors, change the name and christen a new organization.

 

When did MEUs pick back up the "Special Operations Capable" moniker?

 

A parade ready unit is not combat ready. The Navy is stretching that saying to the limit!

 Thanks to Gerard for the pic!


If the Navy can't get the basics right...like upkeep of their ships then how can we trust that all those exquisite weapon systems are ready?

We all know the saying that a parade ready unit is not a combat ready unit.

But this.  This is downright disgusting.

Our Navy is in a hurt locker.  To be honest I can understand (don't like it but understand) the Navy's reluctance to buy the Landing Ship Medium for the Marine Corps.

They need to get their house in order before adding any more ships.

It also could apply to new amphibs.  The Navy is in the midst of a serious recruiting crisis.  New ships that they don't have the Sailors to man is a problem.  They probably want to decrease the number of amphibs so they have enough Sailors to equip their destroyers.

Which is more valuable to the sea battle?  A Marine Littoral Regiment or two additional Burke Destroyers?

That's another mistake that Force Design 2030 made.

The Marine Corps went first and expected the other services to follow on tilt to the Pacific.  The other services are worried about world wide obligations with limited resources and CAN NOT laser focus on one region.

The USMC misread the room.  The US Navy is trying to cover its bases and get its sea legs back.

Until the Navy rights itself the USMC is stuck in limbo...especially if naval integration is the future course and not being a true member of the joint force available to the Combatant Commanders as a stand alone entity.

You might think this is nothing. To me its ominous. Zelensky proposes a law that basically makes English their joint prime language

 

Why would you make this a requirement in Ukraine? Why would you make this a requirement for LOCAL administrations, police, prosecutors etc...? I know everyone on this blog is gonna say this is no big deal. To me it is. It's almost like Zelensky is paving the ground for Americans to flood into the country and do our thing. What is our thing? We attempt to make mini-USA's on a global scale. If the "natives" reject it then things go terribly. If they accept it then we have a new playground. Ukraine is opening itself up to be our new playground. That makes me nervous.

Historians will remember the roots of the Ukraine - Russia war

 

Thanks to Duke 7 for the link!

Abrams MBT arrive in Poland

* Poland has been on a massive spending spree lately. It's almost like they've already adopted a wartime footing. I believe they bear watching. Additionally I consider them a wild card. This is the problem with alliances. One nation goes rogue and it could drag the entire alliance into a fight no one else wanted.

Lastly if you think we have friends then you're wrong.  We have mutual interests with other nations.  Special relationships on a nation state basis?  Childish thinking.  
 

T-7A Red Hawk

 

The Air Force might as well bite the bullet and make a combat capable version of this airplane. The original rationale was that they needed a trainer that would be viable with modern jet fighters so this should be a no brainer to load it with missiles, sensors and such.

Berger, trust & a terrible change agent

 via Breaking Defense.

“I wish they would have the trust in all Marines,” Berger said of the critics, listing off the numerous military agencies and offices that contributed to developing Force Design. “I will have that degree of trust the day after I leave because the person after me will be fully informed and I’ll be one day out of date.”

“That was kind of the surprising thing,” Berger added. “Why did they doubt? Why did they lose trust in all the Marines they served alongside?”

Here 

I find this amazing.

Berger started his "transformation" without trust.  He was secretive, did not get buy in from stakeholders and formed a tight circle that kept relevant information away from those stake holders.

He is the ultimate example of a failed change agent.

To hear his lamentations about lack of trust is to be frank insulting. He and his cabal did everything but foster trust.

He leaves a wounded and failed Commandant that half assed this transformation and is leaving the Marine Corps in worst shape than when he found it.

Good riddance and I wish him nothing but pain and suffering in the future.

Open Comment Post. 29 June 23

 


Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Commander of Russia's Airborne Force takes overall command of the fight in Ukraine

BAE Systems and ELTA Systems, Ltd. successfully test manned-unmanned teaming requirements on Amphibious Combat Vehicle