Saturday, January 22, 2011

Sweetman is at it again.


If Sweetman didn't write this then the "dark lord" has a new apprentice.

via Aviation Week...

Considering the immense deficit-reduction work that lies ahead to help restore U.S. economic strength—which underwrites the nation’s military power—the aerospace industry ought to have breathed a sigh of relief when Defense Secretary Robert Gates recently unveiled the Pentagon’s Fiscal 2012 budget. Even with $78 billion stripped from future spending and another $100 million reallocated internally, government suppliers for the most part still dodged the proverbial bullet.
One that did not was General Dynamics and its Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle. The Marine Corps program was the poster child for paying more to get less. The same holds true for the intractable problems of other programs canceled over the past few years, such as the Army’s Future Combat Systems and the Navy’s DDG-1000 destroyer, among others. Whether they are actually gone is another matter. Most live on as declared goals of the U.S. military.
Ironically, by eliminating programs that were hopelessly over budget and behind schedule, Gates removed some of the anchors around the collective necks of industry and the Pentagon, while at the same time encouraging them to pursue more affordable systems that still satisfy the mission. Of course, the budget in which they must work will be incrementally smaller, but it is still gargantuan; what else would you call a spending plan of at least $553 billion and growing? In short, Gates effectively handed the Pentagon and industry a second chance to get it right.
That is not to say the challenge facing them will be easy. Underlying all the heated debates about how much money the U.S. really needs to spend to maintain robust national security are some inconvenient truths:
•Budget decisions made now will dictate what the force structure looks like in 2020. Yet increasingly those decisions are heavily influenced by the conflict in Afghanistan, undercutting the ability to build militaries prepared for different conflicts. In the U.K., for example, a question being asked is whether that country’s capabilities are overly skewed to land warfare as a result of its experience in south-central Asia. Many camps in the U.S. believe American forces must look very different in 2020.
•Too much emphasis has been placed on unit costs, with less and less consideration to the value that a new weapon system offers the warfighter. As long as Congress insists on funding weapon systems year-to-year, relying almost exclusively on metrics such as unit costs, we will continue to see program death spirals, virtually assuring truncated purchases of advanced capabilities that will be vital in the future such as active, electronically scanned array radar and imbedded sensors.
•Smarter purchasing practices by government customers and greater efficiency by industry have to go well beyond the usual arguments over whether one system or another makes sense in the global threat environment of the future. The competitive process dominates the front end of a program. The more complex and less frequent the new programs, the greater the incentive to underbid and overpromise. Result: a culture that suppresses reality until it is too late to fix a troubled program, and so it rolls on.
It should not take 20 years to develop a tiltrotor aircraft or an F-35. Even the F-111 program, hardly a model of management oversight in the 1960s, delivered the first workable aircraft, the F-111E, in seven years from contract award.
The Defense Department is long past the point where it needs to make tradeoffs in roles and missions. To put it another way, every armed service does not need to fulfill its own organic capability in all areas. For example, why couldn’t the Navy or Air Force be tasked with providing the Marines Corps with the air support it needs? Congress—which itself has failed in its duties lately—must stop allowing turf wars to block reforms.
•Industry has a credibility problem with its dubious record on program performance. The best strategy that contractors have in a severely fiscally constrained environment is to keep their promises, and fess up if they can’t. The Air Force may need a new bomber, and the Navy may want a new unmanned combat aircraft, but neither will be built on the unrealistic cost estimation process of the past.
Given the financial abyss in which this country finds itself, no one is going to support granting the defense community a special dispensation from responsible cuts in military spending. Nor should they. That means suppliers and customers alike better get it right going forward; a new generation of affordable weapon systems will be needed, and taking any longer than absolutely necessary to field them is not an option.

Talk about a personal jihad against land forces...against the Marine Corps...against anything that isn't USAF blue!  WOW!

Every bullet point I highlighted struck me as misguided but the last one takes the cake!

The Air Force may need a new bomber and the Navy MAY WANT A .....

Amazing!  Its obvious to me that Bill isn't grounded in American politics.  If he thinks that a Republican Congress is going to do away with Marine Air, or that his continued harping on the F-35 is going to sway policy makers then he's in for a serious disappointment.

As a matter of fact, several Ohio law makers are pushing against the EFV being canceled...one of them is the new Speaker of the House....

Bill ole' boy face it...what happened in the UK won't happen here.  Totally different style of government...two years ago when the Democrats were in control then yes...but now???  Not a snowballs chance in hell.

14 comments :

  1. Not even the Democrats would be stupid enough to reduce America's forces as much as the UK did.

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  2. He probably was the main contributor. Bill doesn'tike the Marines, V-22, or F-35, because he blames them all for drawing away money from the greater Pentagon budget for things like the Raptor, and compromising the F-35 specs.

    Morever, while we won't cut like the UK, we will continue to get less of everything for our dollar...the amount of EFVs the Congress wants built, seems like a waste of money at this point.

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  3. Most of this screed is window dressing for a few key ideas the editors are trying to plant. I think you're right, in that one of the main ones is to subvert Marine Air as redundant.

    It is because to the 'ignorant', an 'airplane is an airplane' but to the USMC, an airplane is a component of the Air Combat Element of a MAGTF that is INTEGRATED with the Ground Combat Element.

    If the Air-Sea Battle concept now being worked by the NAvy and Air Force comes to fruition it will have the same or greater impact as the Air-Land Battle doctrine did. Current USMC 'Operational Maneuver From The Sea' doctrine is already in place to support or lead in executing the 'air' part of Air-Sea battle:

    "Forward deployed MAGTFs, as a part of a naval
    expeditionary force, are often the first to respond to a crisis. ACE Command and Coordination must enable stand-alone aviation operations, yet also provide a foundation to integrate follow-on forces and assets into a working Joint Task Force (JTF) command structure -- to include nontraditional elements of national power. When the MAGTF serves in this JTF-enabler capacity,the ACE Commander may be tasked to serve as an enabling Joint Force Air Component Commander (JFACC). This will require ACE Command and Coordination to exercise JFACC command functions -- and in some cases exercise operational control -- over other service and allied nation aviation elements."

    You'd also think Av Week writers would have better memories and note that when OEF kicked off there was ONLY long range strike and Navy/Marine assets available in numbers early.

    I also suspect the F-111E example was Sweetman's idea. The tell: simplistic and naive, and inapproriate. The selection of the F-i11E as an example loses all weight when you consider the E model was a fallback, simplified design that was fielded on the QT when the F-111D ran into big-time development problems. It also is comparing 'apples to oranges'. The F-111E was an evolution of a design already flying, whereas the F-35 is completely new. I would hazard to also assert that the F-35A/B/C will be more capable than the first models of fighters prior to the F-22, and in some ways it is more advanced than the F-22.

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  4. you all make wonderful points but you know what has me most concerned about talk that we see in the Editorial?

    it pits Members, supporters etc...of the Armed Forces against each other.

    i saw really bad business in the UK, when the politicians were successfully able to pit the RAF against the RN and RA.

    it was sad, it was predictable and its something that the service chiefs should have prevented but didn't.

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  5. Sol, you are right that politicians are masters of the divide and conquer approach but are there now circumstances where the USN could not provide CAS for the USMC

    I appreciate the benefits but as an alternative view do you not think that there is some duplication here?

    And if there is one thing that you need to be ruthless about in difficult financial climates it is to be ruthless in hunting out duplication.

    What do you mean by RA by the way?

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  6. RA was a feeble attempt to abbreviate Royal Army....

    duplication of effort?

    i hear that all the time from reformers but answer me this...why does the Navy duplicate the Marine Corps mission of beach recon with its SEALs? why does the Army Rangers duplicate the mission of the 82nd Airborne in airfield seizure?

    you can't justify this one man jihad against the Marine Corps, it obvious and obscene.

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  7. My comments about duplication were completely agnostic of service, it should apply equally across them all.

    Unless that is, you can show a clear and justifiable reason why that duplication is needed.

    Duplication of capability tends to result from a real or perceived deficiency from others. From a neutral perspective, USMC aviation, is it because of some real or perceived deficiency in the USAF or USN, if so, then would it not be better to address the root cause of that deficiency rather than creating a work around because lets face it, work arounds are easier. The problem with work arounds though is that whilst they are fine in a time of plenty, in a time of less money they stick out like a bulldogs balls and become a target for the accountants.

    I agree with you that the USMC seems to be in the firing line at the moment, perhaps it is just an effort to divert attention away from their own duplications.

    On a nitpicking point, we dont use the term Royal Army because the individual components of the army have royal prefixes and you can't have two royals in the title.

    Unless that is you belong to the Royal Monmouthsire Royal Engineers but that as they say, is another story!

    Can you see difficult times ahead for all the US services or do you think it is just a lot of hot air?

    If all the service chiefs could work out a structured plan for achieving cost savings that took into account your nations needs then they would not have to be dragged kicking and screaming into a round of enforced and painful cuts that puts others in the driving seat.

    Getting your cuts in early will stave off more pain later

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  8. the geo-political situation will not allow the US to cut as deeply as our brother in Europe will...the same issues facing us in the Pacific won't allow Australia to make drastic cuts either.

    the problem in the argument against Marine Air are specious to say the least. Marine Air makes up a portion of Naval Aviation and is treated as such. only during times of budget stress is that questioned. only during times of differing procurement objectives is that questioned.

    we're facing that time. the main issue is that Sweetman is leading a one man band to truncate the Marine Air wing because in the end he has only one goal...

    to kill the F-35B...

    if Marine Air were to suddenly go with Super Hornets, his attacks would end...

    Marine Air has served admirably in all our wars but particularly in Afghanistan and Iraq.

    Marine Ground Combat Element has shined and fought with 'elan in the latest conflicts too.

    besides, as i said before, the politics of this just won't allow what Sweetman advocates. if he were to push for Marine Air to absorbed by other forces then he should have done it with a democrat congress. it didn't work then and it darn won't work with Republicans controlling Congress.

    a European view of US defense needs just doesn't jive with the American peoples view of things (no insult intended...just pointing out the differences)....

    a combined Helicopter Command in the US? laughable...never happen.

    we'll have joint training for the F-35 but that's just initial training and you can bet your last few pounds that follow on training will be service specific.

    Special Operations Command? it won't last past this year. i'm going to write about it but its turning into a money pit that won't make it past the current conflicts.

    oh and wait for it....Joint Forces Command was just shut down.

    yeah we won't be cutting in the European style anytime soon.

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  9. . I believe 'thinkdefense' may be gently poking you just a little bit. It is the 'British Army' after all.

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  10. SMSgt Mac.

    you're spot on with your analysis of Sweetman's article.

    my main thing is to avoid the type of in fighting that we saw in the UK (sorry ThinkDefence but it was kinda obvious)

    we can't have services that wear the same flag patch at each others throats because the budget is shrinking.

    ONE TEAM, ONE FIGHT!

    commentaries like Sweetman's blurs that simple fact.

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  11. well i like your picture, and if i am not mistaken the navys bomber is proceeding quite well (X47B pegasus) and will go through sea trials next year (2012) and would be a great strike aircraft for our frontline carriers and has to a good extend funded privately to hopefully sell to the navy, it was in the AF competition but then the navy had a competition for a UCAV and should make a good addition to the fleet, and give a force projection that will be unmatched, get in and touch someone where we may not want to send manned jets in.

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  12. Sol, hear what you are saying and I have railed against the corrosive inter service bitching that has beset UK defence for far too long.

    Unfortunately, it shows no sign of getting any better, at least at the higher echelons.

    Looking in from the outside, the US has 5 air forces each operating manned, unmanned, rotary and fixed wing; Army, USAF, USN, USMC and SOCOM. Now I could be dead wrong but that looks like duplication to me which as I have said may be perfectly fine in times a plenty but of you look at all western nations, the budget deficits are crippling and simply have to be tacked with reductions in spending. Different countries will of course see defence as different priorities, that is only natural, but defence will surely form part of a deficit reduction plan so all armed forces and industry had better get used to that fact for the next 10 or 20 years

    Lean times are coming

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  13. Royal Army!!!!!
    You Cretinous Muppet.

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