Thursday, December 17, 2020

Russia earlier this week launched a top-secret missile capable of destroying satellites in low orbit

I've been watching the reaction of "military Twitter" on this and everyone seems to be falling on being "surprised" or finding it "interesting".

I kinda assumed this capability has existed since at least the 1990s in the black side of the ledger...of the USA & Russia...and that the Chinese probably had the capability by 2010 at the latest.

For better or worse Reagan and his star wars initiative jump started the militarization of space.

To be clear, the next war was going to have space as a battlefield whether we liked it or not.

To take it a step further, I don't see this as a provocative move.  I consider it an attempt at keeping PACE with us.

This genie is out of the bottle.  Too late to try and put the cork back in it.  The weird but possibly good/bad thing is that destruction of a nation's sats could bring us back to the bad old days of total warfare.

Imagine if an enemy state knocked out all our sats.  I can't even imagine the civilian death toll but it would be there.

The more effective this tech becomes the less likely (I think) peer nation warfare becomes.  The real question is this.  What happens when rogue nations glob onto the idea of going after big powers sats? 

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