Rasputitsa has now fully started in Ukraine.

Rasputitsa has now fully started in Ukraine. Heavily slowing down military movements pic.twitter.com/erZCDbVjiQ

— LogKa (@LogKa11) October 27, 2022

Tracks will get bogged down in that,  much less wheeled vehicles (thinking logistics and in this fight HIMARS). Things will slow down dramatically. 

I'm betting we're gonna switch from a HIMARS war back to the suicide drone war. I had another thought. Iranian drones should prove to be game changing. Not because they're sophisticated but because they use "industrial age" type production to pump them out like candy. Numbers count. We haven't seen the Ukrainians receive the type of anti-drone hardware that will defeat the numbers being thrown at them and missiles are expensive and we have only a limited number.

The West better pray to God that China doesn't start supplying Russia.

If they do then sheer numbers alone provided by Chinese industry will be crushing.

At least for now it's probably smart to get a bit more nuanced in our approach to China.

If we push them completely into the "enemy" side of the board then we will face challenges globally that we're not ready for.