Tuesday, July 14, 2020

Libyan Parliament give the Egyptian govt permission to get involved in their civil war..



This!  This is what I've been seeing for at least the past month.  The war in Libya has been heating up, the battle lines are drawn, the allies assembled and the main players are about to enter center stage.

Now is the time for Turkey to either step up or lay down.

I don't think they'll lay down which means that we can expect the Egyptian and Turkish forces to meet on the battlefield.

If it hasn't already happened I think we'll see another Special Operations Olympics with both sides hesitant for their general purpose forces to get involved but that won't last long.

Egypt will push forward their well equipped mechanized infantry/tanks against Libyan backed rebels...those rebels will be forced back and then Turkish conventional forces will have to intercede. 

It's gonna be rough on them because of the distance involved in getting to theater which means that air and sea battles could erupt.

This might be the first big fight of the 2020's.

Terrible decision making when confronting a well trained LEO...

China's Ballistic & Cruise Missiles...

Note.  The Chinese Pershing almost ensures that the new Marine Corps battle theory is dead in the water.  If they have ISR capability that allows them to target ships then they can also target a couple of anti-ship missile carrying vehicles on land.  There will be no easy fight.


Brits to join the US Army's high speed rotorcraft program?



Amazing.  I can't wrap my head around this one.  Why would the Brits be the prime candidate for the US Army to join their program?  Quite honestly they appear to be ready to slice the British Army to ribbons.  It'll be 1/3rd the size of the USMC, its current procurement programs are a mess and while tenacious fighters their govt appears to be backing away from expeditionary warfare...at least on the ground.

The Poles I could see.  Something to jump start the Germans.  Even a consortium of European countries ... something like Spain & Italy.  But a Brit force that is about to be eviscerated by their own govt?

I just don't get it.

EBRC Jaguar (French armored reconnaissance & combat vehicle) on exercise...aerial view...

F-105 Gunnery Practice...

Late Open Comment Post. 14 July 2020


BHR might be salvageable? Not buying it one bit...



Wow.  That press conference must have been a doozy (didn't see it) cause we're getting some extremely optimistic reporting about the condition of this ship.

I don't buy it one bit.

We all saw the fire so are we suppose to doubt our lying eyes?  Not me!  Additionally we can look around the Navy and everything is in shit shape.  Sorry folks, there just ain't no other way to say it. 

Then there is the 800 lbs gorilla in the room.  Covid-19 has essentially ensured that AT BEST the DoD budget will be flat.  Let me say that again.  Covid-19 has ensured that the terrible 20's will be horrific.

Then you add in the changing requirements of Marine Corps amphibious ship requirements, the desire to use alternative platforms, the idea that the MEU is basically dead it makes no sense from a doctrine viewpoint to even try and salvage this ship.

That's it in a nutshell.

Economics and priorities means the BHR is scratched from the naval registry.  They hype is necessary for public sentiment, but budget reality will come into play early or mid next year and the money will not be requested for this ship to be refurbished nor will it be provided by Congress.

Scratch one baby flattop.