Sunday, August 02, 2020

Open Comment Post. 2 August 2020

Evil Reed Richards vs Ultimate Hulk

God bless the Marines involved in the AAV accident but I fear that worse is coming.


By now you've heard of the accident off the California coast with 1 Marine confirmed dead and eight others missing.

This isn't going to be a "slam the concept" type blog post.

It isn't going to try and guess the cause of the accident.

No.  This blog post is a warning to Marines and the Marine Corps about trouble, big trouble coming our way.

The very nature of how the Marine Corps transports its personnel from ship to shore is going to lead to a mass tragedy at sea one day.  Quite honestly I'm more than a bit surprised we haven't seen it yet.

Think about it.

We transport large numbers of Marines (relatively large) by CH-53K, MV-22, AAV/ACV, C-130 and landing craft.

With operations getting pushed further out to sea, independent ship operations etc...then we can expect an airplane/helo to go down or an AAV/ACV/Landing Craft to sink.

Sorry men but that's the sad reality of things.  What can we do to mitigate the risk?  Unfortunately it would take totally revamping our way of doing things (which I don't deem feasible).  We would have to reduce the number of people per transport, and stop practicing as we will fight.  Like I said it just ain't feasible.

Unfortunately that danger will only increase in the future.  Imagine this.  A C-130 is dispatched to establish a FARP on a remote island.  That C-130 suffers engine trouble at 200 miles from land.  Suddenly it goes down with 50 Marines onboard.  The nearest rescue is 5 hours away.  Except for the pilots/aircrew no one is wearing locator beacons.  It isn't storm conditions but the seas are high.

Oh and let me add that the water temp is 60 degrees.

We'll be lucky to save 10 of these Marines.

Military service is inherently dangerous.  The Marine Corps needs to reaffirm that fact, do everything possible to mitigate risk and accept the sad fact that unfortunately Marines will die.

That is the future I unfortunately see (and that's just training, not open warfare against a capable foe).

Having said all that let me get to the important part.

May the memories of the Marines be a blessing to their families.  God Bless.

Friday, July 31, 2020

New Focus on China Fight Could Rob Marine Corps of Versatility....MUST READ ARTICLE!

Read this entire article but I want to pop out a few concerns I've raised on that blog that some of the panelist seem to echo.  Via USNI News.
“This restructured Marine Corps is not designed to be versatile. The Marine Corps likes to think of itself as a Swiss army knife, but this will be a Swiss army knife whose owner has ripped out a couple of blades because he doesn’t think he’s going to need them anymore,” said Mark Cancian, a former Marine who also worked in the White House Office of Management and Budget. “And a Swiss army knife that’s missing key functions is really just an ordinary jackknife.”
----------
“I’m not sure that the changes are complementary to the joint force,” Hoffman said. “I’m not sure that I would like some of these changes to be implemented without some consideration to what mission or burdens we’re placing on the Army and if the Army’s prepared or not prepared to work complementary with the Marine Corps.” 
SNAFU! Blog Note.  This is the easiest of the problems to solve.  If the Marine Corps is going to do less and ask the Army to do more then the Army must grow and the Marine Corps DRASTICALLY SHRINK!  Quite honestly if the China fight is the end all be all for the Marines then it should number no more than 50K....MAX!
 “My chief concern is that this restructuring is focused on a single future conflict, an island campaign in the western Pacific against China,” he said. “And that’s indeed one possible future conflict, but it’s one of many possible conflicts.”
----------
 Berger has maintained that if the Marines are trained for a high-end fight with a competitor like China, then the force will be ready to engage in other low-end conflicts. Cancian disputed this notion, pointing to the Army’s preparation in the 1960s for a land fight in Europe, only to then pivot to fighting in the jungles of Vietnam.

“Of the major conflicts the Marine Corps has been involved with since the second World War — Korea, Vietnam, Desert Storm, Iraq 2003, Afghanistan, — only Iraq in 2003 was arguably foreseen,” he said. “The rest have been totally unexpected. And I think the future will be like that. The next conflict will be some place we are not expecting.”
Story here. 

I would love to see the video of this discussion.  FINALLY WE'RE GETTING SOME REAL DEAL DISCUSSION ABOUT THIS CONCEPT!  While the Missile Marine Commandant is rushing to finish the hatchet job to the Marine Corps, it seems that at least a few people are bold enough to call this for what it is.

BULLSHIT!

Seagull swallows a rabbit...I finally found this insanity...

View this post on Instagram
A post shared by Joy Safari Bay 💎 (@joysafaribay) on


Someone on this blog was talking about a seagull swallowing a rabbit.  I thought it was a myth before I saw this vid.

Just plain wow.  Birds are fierce.  If they were human sized I wonder if we ever would have become the planet's apex predator.

PLZ-05A 155 mm. self-propelled howitzer by artillery regiment under the PLA Xinjiang Military Command (MC) spits fire down range





Mass fires.  Shock action.  High maneuver.

Light forces are vulnerable to mechanized forces EXCEPT in built up areas.  Anywhere else they're dinner on a plate.  Additionally mech forces can be used QUITE EFFECTIVELY in built up areas by using mass fires, shock action and maneuver so the advantage is negated to a degree and light forces are surely fighting defensively.

The Chinese are coming.  There is no simple way.  The solution is to gear up to do the hard thing.

Open Comment Post. 31 July 2020


Thursday, July 30, 2020

Smaller Missile Marine Corps? Then its time to start slashing overhead...NOW!

The Missile Marine Commandant has attacked the Ground Combat Element of the once Mighty USMC with a vengeance (be advised ... more cuts are coming that will stir the souls of even the timid that remain quiet today).

So be it.

He sits in the big chair and while he'll have to answer to the Mothers of America and take the barbs of historians answering why we lost to the Chinese... he has the power to do as he sees fit.

What he hasn't done that's low hanging fruit is to rid the Missile Marines of all the overhead.

The Logistics Bases?  Shutter them now.  Excess overhead.  The Marine Expeditionary Brigades?  Shutter them.  Excess overhead.  A decision needs to be made about whether or not to keep Marine Expeditionary Forces but I would contend that the task they're trying to take over can be better and more easily accomplished at the Division level.  If we're talking about "integrating with the Navy" and since ground combat has gone the way of the Marine Corps (from my chair the Missile Marines will not be engaged in ground combat) then the Admiral in charge of the Naval Task Force will be directing things with the Missile Marines simply along for the ride.

Oh and that chair on the Joint Chiefs?

The Missile Marines don't deserve it.  Vacate that chair and give it to the Space Force.

In for a penny in for a pound Berger.  You started this shit show.  Complete your work.  Man up and get it done.

Challenger 2 getting thrashed about by #ATDU in early '90s