Wednesday, September 30, 2020

Force Design 2030 may be a recipe for the creation of a forlorn hope...or as the Dutch call it "Lost Troops"


How realistic is the vision of the future Marine Corps suggested by Force Design 2030, and how effective would it be?

There are numerous obstacles to deploying and operating a stand-in force that can survive in a future high-intensity conflict. Today there are few places in the Western Pacific that such a force can be deployed in peacetime. Even if it were possible to get our Asian allies to allow the Marine Corps to sprinkle units armed with long-range weapons across the Western Pacific, those units would be early targets of China’s first wave of precision weapons during a crisis.

Also, there would be the problem of resupplying those units, which are likely to run out of munitions, fuel and supplies quickly once a conflict starts.

and this...

 Instead of a viable Marine Corps for a future great power conflict, Force Design 2030 may be a recipe for the creation of a forlorn hope.

For the non-military historian, these were small formations of select troops or volunteers assigned particularly hazardous missions. Because their chance of survival was so slim, they were called a forlorn hope or, in the earliest Dutch version of the term, “lost troops.”

Operating in China’s backyard, the new Marine Corps could be facing a bleak future.


Exactly what I've been saying.  This is a huge gamble and even if it works as planned will fill body bags instead of winning battles.

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