Rob Lee is covering the flow of forces to the Ukrainian (future) battlespace. Things are going from bad to worse...

Noticeable difference between what Ukrainian officials are saying publicly and privately. If Russia wants to have all pieces in place, they'll probably be there in about a week. Then Russia could escalate within hours or days with little public warning.https://t.co/dQlmWUabKO pic.twitter.com/lV2E5qM75E

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) February 5, 2022

Presumably, this means another BTG from the 7th Air Assault Division has been moved to Crimea where its 56th Air Assault Regiment is located. It also seems Russia has deployed a number of helicopters to Crimea recently from elsewhere in the Southern Military District. 3/ pic.twitter.com/7VtA3XIpAl

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) February 5, 2022

I disagree with this. If Russia decides to escalate, it will be very fast and lethal mostly with fires. There's little reason to start small since it gives away surprise. 5/ pic.twitter.com/yq7RL9TuBq

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) February 5, 2022

Rob is right. When the Russians decide to go they'll go hard, fast and will accomplish all objectives before the US/NATO can even mount diplomatic protests.

What is worrying is the new unity between China and Russia.

If Biden actually follows thru with the "sanctions from hell" that will wreck the Russian economy (which I seriously doubt...sanctions have been used so often that they're practically useless now), that will only push the Russians into a new China-Russia block.

We will bring on a new cold war with threats that eclipse that of the old Soviet Union.

Can you imagine a fully funded Russian military development program?

Can you imagine Russian tech/know how married to Chinese industrial capability along with their zooming tech?

Can you imagine what will happen when we have the Chinese and Russia both actively playing in the Middle East in an attempt to starve the West of oil?  The mayhem in Africa?

This could be the moment that we see the beginning of a new cold war, a serious recession that destroys the standard of living in the West coupled with being the seeds of WW3.

This will not end well.

If there is an off ramp the Biden admin should RUSH to take it. This is not the time to be graveyard brave.

Note.  I stand by my earlier.  Ukraine is not worth the looming danger that is being built into its defense.  

History is repeating.  Instead of Germany annexing Austria, Russia will annex a portion of Ukraine.