Saturday, August 29, 2020

China's Amphibious armored reconnaissance vehicle

Note.  While Missile Marine Corps leadership vacillates on whether or not a next gen ARV needs to be built, the Chinese are full speed ahead. Interesting that this AARV will be capable no matter what clime or place, while the Missile Marines are focused like a laser on just the first island chain.

Friday, August 28, 2020

Once again the Marine Corps demands the Navy build a ship it MUST have...



This issue has come to the fore in the modern era but its been bold enough to be quite annoying.

How many times has the Marine Corps gone to the Navy and said WE MUST HAVE this ship?

Think about it.

The Mobile Landing Platform was a MUST HAVE for sea basing.  Then when it went into service it turned out that "we gotta figure out how we're gonna use it"!

We had the America Class.  The first couple were built without well decks because the Marine Corps said we're going AIR CENTRIC and we don't need WELL DECKS!

Next thing you know the Marine Corps reverses course and the next few WILL HAVE a well deck.

Then we had the DDG-1000.  The Marine Corps said we need naval guns back in a big way cause we're in the business of forcible landings and we need FIRE SUPPORT.  Suddenly we don't need the fire support cause we're no longer in the business of forcible landings!

Now we have this.

Give it a couple of years and this class will be like the LCS. Orphaned while leadership pursues another failed concept when what we really need is a reaffirmation of our core missions and values...PLUS THE RECOGNITION that a peer fight won't be easy or bloodless!

Grom high-speed strike UAV by Kronstadt group.




CH-148 Cyclone Maritime helicopter during a diver training flight off the coast of Hawaii during Exercise Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) 2020






Chinese Type 15...



Late Open Comment Post. 28 Aug 2020


Well the power is back on, no damage to the house just a few knocked over trees and tons of limbs to get up.

The hurricane was indeed interesting but fortunately for us (sorry for others) we were spared the worst of the thing.  Additionally because I live in a rural area we're back up much quicker than some of the urban communities within driving distance (extended power outages, no running water but thankful no EXTRA criminal activity).

Many are doing terribly and prayers up for those folks.

Members of the Task Force are headed down to help out in S. Louisiana and the National Guard is doing their thing so give them a shout upstairs too.

All in all?  I'm good and thankful.  Back to regular blogging over the course of the next few days.

"Call Of Duty: Black Ops" says what my readers have...we're being attacked from the outside because those inside are being influenced/led astray...

A few of my readers have been sounding this drumbeat.  Now "Call Of Duty" is repeating it too.

Could they be right?  Could the US be involved in a massive scheme to weaken our country from the outside using our own democracy to get it done?

More bad news. The Missile Marines will probably go below 150K boatspaces...

Dan Goure was talking about LCACs and why the Missile Marine Corps will still need them (he doesn't make a very good argument...the heaviest piece of kit that will go ashore will probably be the HIMARS and that'll be on those tramp steamers Berger wants to buy) and while doing it made this statement...
The Planning Guidance states explicitly that the Marine Corps will no longer be sized or equipped to conduct large-scale opposed landings. 
I've touched on this before but it needs to be highlighted.  The Missile Marine Corps will no longer be sized or equipped to conduct large-scale opposed landings (meaning that amphibious forcible entry is off the table now...the USA is essentially left with Airborne Assault as the only means of putting troops on the ground deep inside enemy territory) AND will no longer be capable of sustained ground combat.

That means that the Missile Marines will get smaller.

In one swift move Berger eliminated Tanks, MPs and a couple other organizations.

You can't bet body parts that you highly value he ain't done.  Have you seen the pics of the unmanned JLTV sporting both a cannon on one variant and a HIMARS pod on the other?


I've given you the bad news that LAR is dead, they just don't know it yet. The same can be said for most of the remaining artillery units.  Check out that pic above.  Unmanned 105mm cannon.  Unmanned 155mm cannon.  Unmanned HIMARS.  And whats with them?  Looks like one MTVR and one JLTV.  That means that one gun crew will probably be paired with "monitoring" those warfighting robots.

Artillery is about to raped by the Commandant (and I don't think he'll use lubricant).

I hear what you're saying.  What does that have to do with the Missile Marines going below 150K boatspaces?

Go thru his hit parade...

1.  Opposed large scale landings are off the table.

2.  Sustained ground combat operations are off the table.

3.  The number of F-35's bought is going to be reduced.

4.  The number of AH-1Zs, UH-1Ys and CH-53Ks kept or purchased is going to be reduced.

5.  He has stated in his planning guidance that HE WILL shed personnel to pay for "modernization" (read that to mean buying anti-ship missiles).

Long story short?  The Missile Marines could possibly go down to 100K and HQMC will claim ENHANCED combat power while not being capable of doing what it once did.

The real question that must be asked.

Why did Berger CHOOSE to go this route?  Why did he determine that limiting the Missile Marines to one unique mission set in one theater was a better way to go rather than simply seeking to add a capability to that Marine Division that is assigned to the Pacific (he also said that we will no longer see mirror divisions/MEUs...with that being the case why didn't he simply tailor the 3rd MARDIV to operations in the Pacific?).

My belief?

I don't think this is about helping fight the Chinese.  The token forces arrayed against the Chinese armada will see the sea battle lost and those Missile Marine forces on land isolated, fixed and destroyed.  The contribution to the sea battle will be too small to make a difference and the ability to repel a Chinese amphibious assault has been pissed away.

So what is it!

It's about budgets.  This is about money.  This is about tucking underneath the Navy because future budgets are gonna be tight as hell. 

My prediction?

The hardwon independence that the greats of the US Marine Corps fought for is about to be given away.  Returning to our naval roots will see the Missile Marines back to what it was before WW2 with the same results.

Berger is breaking the oath.

The Missile Marines will be least prepared when the nation is least prepared.  The CHAOS and FRICTION he's introduced will see any Chinese action against US interests met with the same shock as was seen at the start of the Korean War.

Additionally we'll probably see the Missile Marines pushed back to the sea hoping that the 82nd or Army Rangers can jump in to save them.

It's a bleak future but it's one that's coming this way because we got another transformationalist instead of a leader that sought to steady our ship and get us back on our bearing.

Starting with Amos the Missile Marines will be 0-3.  I doubt the next guy (or gal...that will completely square the circle and I can see it coming...someone we've never heard of too) will be who we need so make that 0-4.  Four failed leaders in a row?  How can any organization survive that? 

Thursday, August 27, 2020

LAR is dead. Deal with it!



via Force Structure 2030
Increase in Light Armored Reconnaissance

While I have repeatedly stated that all-domain
reconnaissance and counter-reconnaissance will be
a critical element of any future contingency, I remain
unconvinced that additional wheeled, manned armored
ground reconnaissance units are the best and only
answer
– especially in the Indo-Pacific region. We need
to see more evidence during Phase III to support this
conclusion before engaging in an expansion of our
existing capacity, or committing billions of dollars
in procurement funds towards the acquisition of an
Advanced Reconnaissance Vehicle (ARV).
That's from your patron saint Commandant Berger.  Not Solomon but from Berger.

What was that?  You can't read between the lines?  Ok.  Let me help you out.

1.  The LAV-A2 despite upgrades is still an "old" vehicle.  Its combat capability on a modern battlefield is limited.  An upgrade is needed.

2.  Money is tight.  Berger points it out but few want to believe him (I believe him after he brutally killed Tank BN and then tried to celebrate the Marines that once served in that unit) but he's clear. "We need to see more evidence during Phase III...committing billions of dollars in procurement funds towards the acquisition of an Advanced Recon Vehicle".

That's crystal clear to me.  He has his focus and hasn't even started buying his precious (though limited) anti-ship missiles.  Knowing Berger's vision and his focus on the 1st Island Chain which do you think he will prioritize?  ARV or Missiles?

3.  He also gives a hint that he'll try and split the baby by keeping LAR in name but switching to perhaps robotic ground vehicles, unmanned air assets or even a mix of the two.  The unit might survive in name but will be unrecognizable to many of us

Long story short?

LAR is dead.  Deal with it!

Wednesday, August 26, 2020

Is Berger simply rebuilding Marine Defense Battalions? SURE SOUNDS LIKE IT!

via Wikipedia..
Marine Defense Battalions were United States Marine Corps battalions charged with coastal and air defense of advanced naval bases during World War II. They maintained large anti-ship guns, anti-aircraft guns, searchlights, and small arms to repel landing forces.
----------
 Unlike the mobile Marine forces involved in offensive actions, defense battalions were detached to key outposts, in the Pacific and one in Iceland,[1] and remained at the station they defended.[2] Most varied greatly in size and equipment. The battalions often had several coastal gun batteries, several anti-aircraft batteries, a detection battery (searchlights and radar), and machine gun units. While a few had composite infantry companies attached, most defense battalions were responsible for providing their own riflemen.
Here. 

Wow.

Kinda hits you square in the face don't it!  Berger isn't looking to the future, he's trying to relive the past.

You look at this "Littoral Force" and you think its audacious, bold, and forward looking?  You're wrong.  It's weak, pathetic and aimed at one enemy in one location.

It's a revision to the past that so many Marines honored but sought to grow beyond.  The Marine Corps is a medium weight force that can flex up and down the spectrum of conflict.  That is capable of fighting in all climes and places.

Not a one trick pony waiting on a battle that might never come.